Timberwolves Aim for Upset Over Nuggets in Crucial Game 5 Showdown

The Minnesota Timberwolves, seeded sixth, are poised to eliminate the third-seeded Denver Nuggets in Game 5 of their Western Conference first-round playoff series on Monday, April 27, 2026. After a decisive 112-96 victory on Saturday, the Timberwolves have a commanding 3-1 series lead. Ayo Dosunmu starred for Minnesota, pouring in 43 points, while Jamal Murray led the Nuggets with 30 points. The Timberwolves face setbacks with Anthony Edwards ruled out due to a knee injury and Donte DiVincenzo sidelined for the season with a torn Achilles. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET at Ball Arena in Denver, where the Nuggets are favored by 11.5 points according to the latest odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. The over/under for total points is set at 221.5. The SportsLine Projection Model, which has successfully simulated every NBA game 10,000 times, has generated over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks. Currently, the model has a 74% success rate on top-rated spread picks this season, making it a valuable resource for bettors. Key betting insights include: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets spread: Nuggets -11.5 at FanDuel Over/under: 221.5 points Money line: Nuggets -521, Timberwolves +393 The model predicts that the total will go Over as it has in 10 of the Nuggets' last 15 games. It projects the Timberwolves to have five players scoring 12.1 points or more, led by Julius Randle with 23.2 points. Nikola Jokic is expected to lead the Nuggets with 28.9 points, with five Denver players also scoring in double figures. With the projected total reaching 231 points, the model indicates a 61% chance of the Over hitting, making it an attractive option for parlay betting. For further insights and betting strategies, fans are encouraged to check out SportsLine's detailed picks.
Source: CBS Sports - 2026-04-27